In the latest Kansas returns, the no vote opposing the anti-abortion provision drew more than 900,000 voters out, “about two-thirds of the number of votes cast in the 2020 presidential election. It will be curious to see if pundits budge on their handicapping after voters in a red state like Kansas turned out in unprecedented numbers to vote down the proposal to end the state constitutional guarantee of a woman’s right to make her own decisions about her reproductive health.
Chris Smith, whose been representing the 4th CD since 1980. Jeff Van Drew, the Democrat, who switched his allegiance in homage to Donald Trump, and his Republican colleague Rep. The respected political analysis source FiveThirtyEight also put Malinowski on the endangered list while predicting victories for the 2nd CD’s Rep. Supreme Court voted to overturn Roe, the influential Cook Political Report continued to list New Jersey’s 3rd CD as a “lean” Republican with former State Senators Tom Kean Jr.
You can see it with their made for TV graphics that flash the historic trend lines that show the party with an incumbent in the White House loses seats in Congress. As the summer of 2022 melts into the history books, there’s a temptation to want to see the post-Labor Day campaign as just another bi-annual Congressional election as the media’s pundit class frames it.